Modeling for Policy Formulation: Causal Mapping, Scenario Generation, and Decision Evaluation - Electronic Participation Access content directly
Conference Papers Year : 2015

Modeling for Policy Formulation: Causal Mapping, Scenario Generation, and Decision Evaluation

Aron Larsson
  • Function : Author
  • PersonId : 1016367
Osama Ibrahim
  • Function : Author
  • PersonId : 1016368

Abstract

In this paper we present a work process with associated operational research modeling and analysis tools for the policy formulation stage of the Lindblom policy cycle process model. The approach exploits the use of causal maps for problem structuring and scenario generation of policy options together with decision analysis for evaluating generated scenarios taking preferences of decision makers and stakeholders into account. The benefits of interest when exploiting this integrated modeling approach is to enable for; (i) problem structuring and facilitating understanding and communication of a complex policy problem, (ii) simulation of policy consequences and identification of a smaller set of policy options from a possible very large set of possible options, and (iii) structured decision evaluation of the generated alternative policy options.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
346775_1_En_11_Chapter.pdf (703.7 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origin : Files produced by the author(s)
Loading...

Dates and versions

hal-01587633 , version 1 (14-09-2017)

Licence

Attribution

Identifiers

Cite

Aron Larsson, Osama Ibrahim. Modeling for Policy Formulation: Causal Mapping, Scenario Generation, and Decision Evaluation. 7th International Conference on Electronic Participation (ePart), Aug 2015, Thessaloniki, Greece. pp.135-146, ⟨10.1007/978-3-319-22500-5_11⟩. ⟨hal-01587633⟩
174 View
220 Download

Altmetric

Share

Gmail Facebook X LinkedIn More